ProfitScore Update – February 2024
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: Exploring Volatility Asymmetry Volatility is a perennial topic of discussion within financial markets; its asymmetric nature is often overlooked, eluding casual observation. Market reactions to volatility demonstrate an inherent asymmetry: sharp increases in volatility frequently lead to turbulent…
ProfitScore Update – September 2023
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: The Inverse Dance of Equities and VolatilityEquities and volatility, two vital financial metrics, often engage in a rhythmic dance, moving in opposite directions. Here’s a glimpse into their inverse relationship. The Inverse Tango: Historically, when stock prices (equities) rise,…
ProfitScore Update – February 2023
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: With the rise in popularity of 0TDE (0 days to expiration) options, investors should be wise about the impact this might have on markets. Remarkably, more than 40% of S&P-related options have a same-day expiry, or 0DTE, according to…
ProfitScore Update – January 2023
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: January was a good month for both equities and fixed income. After finishing 2022 down more than -18%, the S&P 500 rebounded in January, posting a positive return of 6.3%. Similarly, the U.S. Agg, being down -13.01% for 2022, bounced…
ProfitScore Update – August 2022
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: As has been previously mentioned ProfitScore has two trading constructs for both our treasury program and our equity program. Specifically for our Equity program, we use two systems, one is for low volatility and one is for high…
ProfitScore Update – July 2022
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: One of the core tenants of ProfitScore trading discipline is the concept of “market states.” ProfitScore believes that knowing what market state you are in dramatically increases your chance of success. ProfitScore specializes in trading equities and US…
ProfitScore Update – April 2022
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: Institutional investors know ProfitScore primarily for our US Treasury work, but few investors know about our expertise in trading US equities. ProfitScore has provided equity research and sub-advised equity programs to the RIA channel for over two decades. In…
ProfitScore Update – January 2022
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: The expectation of heightened volatility for 2022 did not disappoint in January. The VIX rose to just short of 32 in late January, its highest level since January 2021, settling at 24.38 by month’s end. According to weekly data published…
ProfitScore Update – December 2021
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: One of the time-tested valuation measures is the CAPE (Cyclically Adjusted PE ratio) developed by Prof Robert Shiller at Yale. Below is a chart using Shiller’s data. On the x-axis is the CAPE ratio at any given point…
ProfitScore Update – November 2021
To the clients and friends of ProfitScore: Our flight-to-quality indicator had been building towards the end of November and went long on the Wednesday before Thanksgiving. This trade can last for a few days or several weeks. It can also chop around depending on the…